Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.9% vs Gourde 49.5% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 51.6%
Defensive zone
Gourde 67.8%
Neutral zone
Gourde 66.4%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Barzal
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Barzal
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barzal
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
0
Barzal
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (483)
49.1% (731)
-2.5%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
54.3% (81)
-13.4%
On power play, Gourde has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Barzal shoots right. Gourde is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Barzal
Gourde
Home
49.6% (242)
50.9% (479)
Away
43.3% (263)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Barzal
Gourde
P1
42.4%
51.2%
P2
49.5%
49.8%
P3
47.7%
47.5%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
40.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2022 | 3 | 03:01 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 04:18 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 3 | 18:45 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |