Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 39.3% vs Gourde 49.7% (-14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 52.3%
Defensive zone
Gourde 90.4%
Neutral zone
Gourde 74.3%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 74.3%
25.7%
74.3%
Barzal
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Barzal
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
0
Barzal
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (283)
49.1% (847)
-14.1%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
79.5% (44)
-23.9%
On power play, Gourde has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Barzal is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Barzal shoots right. Gourde is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Barzal
Gourde
Home
37.0% (138)
50.1% (491)
Away
34.4% (154)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Barzal
Gourde
P1
29.5%
54.7%
P2
44.5%
45.0%
P3
31.8%
49.4%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.1%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 11:10 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |