Mathieu Joseph vs Michael McCarron
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Joseph wins 36.0% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Joseph 43.9% vs McCarron 47.9% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Joseph 66.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 61.9%
Neutral zone
Joseph 54.8%
Result
Mathieu Joseph favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Joseph
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Joseph
McCarron
Last 7: Joseph 3-4 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Joseph
1
0
Joseph
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Joseph
McCarron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Joseph
McCarron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Joseph
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (108)
36.4% (33)
+2.5%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
75.0% (4)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
60.0% (5)
-60.0%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Joseph is 36.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Joseph shoots left. McCarron is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (18).
Home / Away
Joseph
McCarron
Home
38.0% (50)
57.7% (26)
Away
38.7% (62)
18.8% (16)
By Period
Joseph
McCarron
P1
38.5%
60.0%
P2
25.6%
28.6%
P3
52.9%
38.5%
Final 5 min
44.4%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Joseph
42.0%▬
41.0%
38.4%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2021 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Mathieu Joseph |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 2 | 01:40 | Neutral | Mathieu Joseph |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 1 | 04:43 | Neutral | Mathieu Joseph |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 3 | 12:02 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 1 | 02:04 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 1 | 02:01 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |