Mathieu Joseph vs Michael McCarron
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Joseph wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Joseph 50.6% vs McCarron 54.0% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Joseph 79.4%
Defensive zone
McCarron 70.2%
Neutral zone
Joseph 50.7%
Result
Mathieu Joseph favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Joseph
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Joseph
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
2
Joseph
McCarron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Joseph
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (60)
54.2% (756)
-4.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
55.6% (9)
+44.4%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
55.1% (158)
+11.6%
On power play, Joseph has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Joseph is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (26).
Joseph shoots left. McCarron is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Joseph
McCarron
Home
52.8% (36)
54.6% (445)
Away
50.0% (28)
54.2% (478)
By Period
Joseph
McCarron
P1
51.7%
53.6%
P2
29.4%
55.6%
P3
72.2%
53.7%
Final 5 min
81.3%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Joseph
42.0%▬
41.0%
51.6%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 05:31 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 13:21 | Neutral | Mathieu Joseph |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 13:17 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |