Mathieu Joseph vs Michael McCarron
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +29.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Joseph 46.2% vs McCarron 52.5% (-29.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Joseph 71.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 74.2%
Neutral zone
Joseph 50.0%
Result
Mathieu Joseph favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Joseph
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Joseph
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Joseph
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Joseph
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
26.7% (15)
53.1% (672)
-26.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
53.7% (205)
-53.7%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +53.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Joseph is 16.7% vs right-shot opponents (6).
Joseph shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Joseph
McCarron
Home
25.0% (8)
52.8% (477)
Away
22.2% (9)
52.8% (411)
By Period
Joseph
McCarron
P1
40.0%
56.5%
P2
22.2%
53.2%
P3
0.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
20.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Joseph
42.0%▬
41.0%
23.5%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 16:09 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |