Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Joseph 47.3% vs Carpenter 51.2% (-9.8%)
Offensive zone
Joseph 73.5%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 76.7%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 57.8%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Joseph
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Joseph
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
39.5% (43)
53.2% (299)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
46.5% (86)
+13.5%
On even strength, Carpenter has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Joseph is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (17).
Joseph shoots left. Carpenter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Joseph
Carpenter
Home
34.5% (29)
54.6% (207)
Away
52.6% (19)
48.1% (181)
By Period
Joseph
Carpenter
P1
40.9%
52.3%
P2
41.7%
51.5%
P3
42.9%
50.8%
Final 5 min
35.7%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Joseph
42.0%▬
41.0%
41.7%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%