Mathieu Joseph vs Ryan Carpenter
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carpenter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Joseph wins 37.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Joseph 40.7% vs Carpenter 48.5% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Carpenter leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Joseph 82.6%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 71.9%
Neutral zone
Joseph 55.3%
Result
Mathieu Joseph favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Joseph
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Joseph
Carpenter
Last 10: Joseph 4-6 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Joseph
3
1
Joseph
Carpenter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
3
Joseph
Carpenter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
1
2
Joseph
Carpenter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Joseph
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
37.2% (336)
49.6% (2,027)
-12.4%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
41.5% (41)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
43.9% (467)
+3.7%
On power play, Joseph has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Joseph is 37.9% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Joseph shoots left. Carpenter is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Home / Away
Joseph
Carpenter
Home
38.8% (183)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
37.6% (181)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Joseph
Carpenter
P1
36.2%
49.6%
P2
28.8%
47.7%
P3
53.1%
48.0%
Final 5 min
43.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Joseph
42.0%▬
41.0%
38.2%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 12:59 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 16:57 | Offensive | Mathieu Joseph |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 02:14 | Offensive | Mathieu Joseph |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 1 | 13:32 | Neutral | Mathieu Joseph |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 1 | 13:26 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 2 | 02:28 | Offensive | Mathieu Joseph |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 03:02 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 05:41 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 13:57 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 02:32 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |