Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Joseph wins 25.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Joseph 43.4% vs Carpenter 48.2% (-14.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Joseph 77.8%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 65.7%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 52.5%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Joseph
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Joseph
Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
1
Joseph
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Joseph
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
29.3% (58)
48.8% (404)
-19.5%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
43.6% (101)
+31.4%
On power play, Carpenter has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Joseph is 25.0% vs right-shot opponents (20).
Joseph shoots left. Carpenter is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (366).
Home / Away
Joseph
Carpenter
Home
37.9% (29)
48.9% (274)
Away
29.7% (37)
46.6% (232)
By Period
Joseph
Carpenter
P1
9.1%
51.9%
P2
37.9%
49.4%
P3
60.0%
41.8%
Final 5 min
35.7%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Joseph
42.0%▬
41.0%
33.3%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 12:59 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |