Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Coronato wins 39.1% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coronato 42.3% vs Novak 43.3% (-3.0%)
Offensive zone
Coronato 59.4%
Defensive zone
Novak 64.8%
Neutral zone
Coronato 51.4%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Coronato
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coronato
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
37.8% (259)
42.1% (1,539)
-4.3%
Power Play
48.5% (68)
51.9% (133)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
50.0% (2)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Coronato is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Coronato shoots right. Novak is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Coronato
Novak
Home
39.8% (171)
45.3% (814)
Away
40.1% (157)
40.6% (860)
By Period
Coronato
Novak
P1
42.2%
43.9%
P2
38.0%
42.8%
P3
38.1%
41.7%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.7%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coronato
42.0%▲
39.5%
39.9%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.9%