Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coronato 46.2% vs Novak 43.5% (-15.9%)
Offensive zone
Novak 67.2%
Defensive zone
Novak 52.5%
Neutral zone
Novak 51.1%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Coronato
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coronato
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
22.2% (18)
40.7% (460)
-18.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
61.5% (39)
+38.5%
On power play, Coronato has a +38.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Coronato is 23.5% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Coronato shoots right. Novak is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Coronato
Novak
Home
33.3% (12)
47.0% (236)
Away
14.3% (7)
37.9% (264)
By Period
Coronato
Novak
P1
25.0%
43.1%
P2
42.9%
43.1%
P3
0.0%
40.1%
Final 5 min
25.0%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coronato
42.0%▲
39.5%
26.3%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.2%