Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Coronato wins 35.4% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coronato 43.2% vs Novak 43.4% (-3.1%)
Offensive zone
Coronato 50.4%
Defensive zone
Novak 60.6%
Neutral zone
Novak 50.2%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Coronato
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coronato
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
37.0% (119)
41.4% (379)
-4.4%
Power Play
46.7% (30)
46.9% (32)
-0.2%
On even strength, Novak has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Coronato is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (130).
Coronato shoots right. Novak is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Coronato
Novak
Home
38.8% (67)
42.6% (195)
Away
38.6% (83)
41.2% (216)
By Period
Coronato
Novak
P1
50.9%
42.4%
P2
35.4%
39.2%
P3
28.6%
44.7%
Final 5 min
36.7%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coronato
42.0%▲
39.5%
38.7%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
41.8%