Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.8% vs 42.7%). Coronato wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coronato 45.6% vs Novak 45.0% (+0.1%)
Offensive zone
Coronato 66.0%
Defensive zone
Novak 59.9%
Neutral zone
Novak 50.8%
Result
Matt Coronato favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Coronato
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coronato
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (122)
42.9% (198)
-1.9%
Power Play
48.6% (37)
40.9% (22)
+7.7%
On power play, Coronato has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Coronato is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Coronato shoots right. Novak is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Coronato
Novak
Home
41.3% (92)
40.9% (110)
Away
44.8% (67)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Coronato
Novak
P1
36.4%
39.1%
P2
40.5%
43.9%
P3
47.7%
44.9%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coronato
42.0%▲
39.5%
42.8%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%