Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 53.3% vs Duchene 57.0% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 78.5%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 53.3%
Neutral zone
Duchene 54.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Kopitar
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Kopitar
Duchene
Last 7: Kopitar 6-1 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
1
Kopitar
Duchene
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (1,285)
56.5% (527)
-3.7%
Power Play
64.8% (199)
61.6% (185)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (292)
59.3% (27)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Kopitar is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,060).
Kopitar shoots left. Duchene is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Duchene
Home
53.7% (918)
57.6% (403)
Away
53.3% (858)
58.3% (336)
By Period
Kopitar
Duchene
P1
52.9%
61.4%
P2
53.6%
58.5%
P3
53.4%
54.9%
OT
64.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
62.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
53.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2015 | 2 | 17:49 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 2 | 16:20 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 2 | 14:44 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 1 | 12:53 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 1 | 08:46 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 1 | 05:47 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |