Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 50.4% vs Duchene 61.5% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 81.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 85.7%
Neutral zone
Horvat 80.6%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 82.9%
82.9%
17.1%
Horvat
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Horvat
Duchene
Last 10: Horvat 2-8 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
3
Horvat
Duchene
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
5
Horvat
Duchene
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
4
Horvat
Duchene
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (1,163)
62.2% (802)
-12.2%
Power Play
60.5% (157)
67.3% (153)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (178)
59.4% (143)
-14.5%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Horvat is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (980).
Horvat shoots left. Duchene is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Horvat
Duchene
Home
52.0% (767)
66.5% (555)
Away
48.8% (731)
58.6% (543)
By Period
Horvat
Duchene
P1
47.1%
63.2%
P2
49.4%
59.6%
P3
54.3%
65.0%
OT
57.9%
71.4%
Final 5 min
49.3%
65.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
50.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
62.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2017 | 3 | 14:10 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 25, 2017 | 2 | 16:28 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 25, 2017 | 2 | 13:24 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2017 | 1 | 15:37 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 25, 2017 | 1 | 06:39 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2017 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 2, 2017 | 3 | 07:17 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 2, 2017 | 2 | 18:15 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 2, 2017 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 2, 2017 | 2 | 15:02 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 2, 2017 | 2 | 09:52 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 2, 2017 | 2 | 04:33 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 2, 2017 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 2, 2017 | 1 | 11:30 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 2, 2017 | 1 | 09:55 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 05:09 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |