Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 48.2% vs Duchene 50.3% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 79.0%
Defensive zone
Duchene 51.7%
Neutral zone
Brassard 58.0%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 74.8%
74.8%
25.2%
Brassard
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Brassard
Duchene
Last 5: Brassard 0-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
4
Brassard
Duchene
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Brassard
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (798)
49.4% (933)
-3.2%
Power Play
56.1% (173)
58.7% (104)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
47.6% (21)
+2.4%
On even strength, Duchene has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Brassard is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Brassard shoots left. Duchene is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (656).
Home / Away
Brassard
Duchene
Home
47.5% (459)
51.9% (534)
Away
48.5% (518)
48.7% (524)
By Period
Brassard
Duchene
P1
48.0%
51.0%
P2
50.1%
48.8%
P3
44.9%
50.6%
OT
57.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.7%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2014 | 3 | 13:34 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 3 | 10:46 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 3 | 10:38 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 3 | 07:48 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 3 | 01:39 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |