Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 48.8% vs Duchene 52.0% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 83.4%
Defensive zone
Brassard 59.1%
Neutral zone
Brassard 62.1%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Brassard
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Brassard
Duchene
Last 10: Brassard 2-8 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Brassard
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
3
Brassard
Duchene
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
6
Brassard
Duchene
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,162)
52.6% (1,081)
-4.1%
Power Play
49.7% (181)
49.6% (119)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
41.2% (17)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Brassard is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (813).
Brassard shoots left. Duchene is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Home / Away
Brassard
Duchene
Home
51.7% (689)
54.9% (625)
Away
45.9% (687)
49.3% (592)
By Period
Brassard
Duchene
P1
48.1%
52.7%
P2
51.8%
54.1%
P3
45.9%
49.5%
OT
52.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.3%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.8%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 14:42 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 16:30 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 08:41 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 03:17 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 2 | 10:11 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 2 | 09:57 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 15:26 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 15:09 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 05:56 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 02:48 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 02:43 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |