Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 52.1% vs Duchene 54.2% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 70.8%
Defensive zone
Duchene 54.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 51.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Carter
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Carter
Duchene
Last 5: Carter 0-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Carter
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Carter
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Carter
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (289)
56.8% (706)
-3.9%
Power Play
56.5% (69)
56.1% (57)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
42.3% (130)
-3.8%
On even strength, Duchene has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Carter is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Carter shoots right. Duchene is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (258).
Home / Away
Carter
Duchene
Home
56.4% (181)
56.6% (488)
Away
49.3% (203)
52.3% (405)
By Period
Carter
Duchene
P1
56.6%
52.0%
P2
54.0%
53.7%
P3
47.2%
58.5%
OT
50.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
56.6%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 06:37 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 02:44 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 00:48 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 07:54 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 19:36 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |