Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +21.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ek wins 37.1% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 45.5% vs Duchene 61.5% (-21.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 68.8%
Defensive zone
Ek 56.0%
Neutral zone
Ek 72.1%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Ek
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Ek
Duchene
Last 8: Ek 2-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
3
Ek
Duchene
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Ek
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ek
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (106)
62.2% (802)
-20.7%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
67.3% (153)
-67.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
59.4% (143)
-9.4%
On power play, Duchene has a +67.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Ek is 37.1% vs left-shot opponents (70).
Ek shoots left. Duchene is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Ek
Duchene
Home
46.7% (45)
66.5% (555)
Away
37.5% (64)
58.6% (543)
By Period
Ek
Duchene
P1
37.0%
63.2%
P2
48.9%
59.6%
P3
35.1%
65.0%
Final 5 min
20.0%
65.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
41.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
62.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 07:34 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 02:15 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 12:10 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 06:07 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 02:20 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |