Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.9% vs Domi 48.8% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Domi leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 57.5%
Defensive zone
Domi 61.6%
Neutral zone
Domi 50.7%
Result
Max Domi favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Duchene
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Duchene
Domi
Last 10: Duchene 4-6 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Duchene
Domi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Duchene
Domi
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
3
5
Duchene
Domi
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (248)
48.2% (363)
+7.4%
Power Play
45.3% (53)
55.6% (27)
-10.3%
On power play, Domi has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Duchene is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Duchene shoots left. Domi is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Duchene
Domi
Home
54.7% (150)
51.5% (227)
Away
53.0% (151)
44.4% (169)
By Period
Duchene
Domi
P1
51.1%
49.2%
P2
57.8%
45.7%
P3
52.4%
51.7%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
53.1%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
53.8%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 07:42 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 11:13 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 17:12 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 11:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 18:36 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 12:30 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 00:14 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 05:03 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 16:27 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 12:51 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 2 | 12:47 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 08:07 | Neutral | Max Domi |