Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 55.6% vs Domi 50.0% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 58.2%
Defensive zone
Domi 51.3%
Neutral zone
Duchene 51.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Duchene
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Duchene
Domi
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Duchene
Domi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (566)
49.7% (394)
+6.8%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
51.7% (58)
+9.6%
On power play, Duchene has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Duchene shoots left. Domi is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Duchene
Domi
Home
56.6% (318)
53.2% (235)
Away
56.4% (319)
46.5% (217)
By Period
Duchene
Domi
P1
57.2%
54.4%
P2
55.1%
46.6%
P3
55.6%
49.6%
OT
81.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
56.5%
Domi
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2024 | 1 | 06:34 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 05:08 | Neutral | Max Domi |