Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 17 meetings). Duchene wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Hischier 52.6% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 19-17 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 52.1%
Defensive zone
Hischier 57.2%
Neutral zone
Hischier 51.0%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Duchene
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
19
(36 meetings)
17
19
Duchene
Hischier
Last 10: Duchene 3-7 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
6
3
Duchene
Hischier
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
4
13
Duchene
Hischier
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
7
3
Duchene
Hischier
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,391)
51.5% (8,379)
+2.4%
Power Play
57.0% (1,664)
59.7% (1,736)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
49.4% (903)
-0.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Duchene shoots left. Hischier is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,048).
Home / Away
Duchene
Hischier
Home
55.6% (6,405)
53.0% (5,449)
Away
52.7% (6,142)
52.2% (5,569)
By Period
Duchene
Hischier
P1
54.5%
52.9%
P2
54.5%
52.4%
P3
53.4%
52.6%
OT
56.3%
50.6%
Final 5 min
53.7%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
48.0%▼
51.0%
54.2%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 02:25 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:35 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:26 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 14:30 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 09:26 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 05:29 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 02:40 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:29 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 12:48 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 12:40 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 08:02 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 04:12 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 03:57 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 03:52 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 12:06 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |