Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.5% vs 56.6%). Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Duchene wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 55.6% vs Hischier 56.2% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 64.2%
Defensive zone
Hischier 58.0%
Neutral zone
Hischier 50.3%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Duchene
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Duchene
Hischier
Last 8: Duchene 5-3 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Hischier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
Duchene
Hischier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
2
Duchene
Hischier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (566)
56.1% (1,018)
+0.4%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
59.9% (289)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
51.3% (80)
-29.1%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +29.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Duchene shoots left. Hischier is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Home / Away
Duchene
Hischier
Home
56.6% (318)
56.5% (706)
Away
56.4% (319)
56.7% (681)
By Period
Duchene
Hischier
P1
57.2%
54.8%
P2
55.1%
57.8%
P3
55.6%
57.6%
OT
81.3%
14.3%
Final 5 min
47.9%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 12:48 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 12:40 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 08:02 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 04:12 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 03:57 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 03:52 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |