Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Duchene wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Hischier 55.2% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 67.8%
Defensive zone
Duchene 63.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 66.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Duchene
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Duchene
Hischier
Last 10: Duchene 3-7 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Duchene
Hischier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
6
Duchene
Hischier
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (723)
55.8% (1,228)
-2.8%
Power Play
49.5% (101)
62.1% (282)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
47.6% (267)
-3.8%
On power play, Hischier has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Duchene shoots left. Hischier is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,187).
Home / Away
Duchene
Hischier
Home
54.9% (408)
56.5% (867)
Away
50.0% (432)
54.6% (910)
By Period
Duchene
Hischier
P1
52.5%
57.9%
P2
51.7%
55.9%
P3
53.6%
52.7%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.3%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 02:25 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:35 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:26 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 14:30 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 09:26 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 05:29 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 02:40 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:29 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |