Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Hischier 51.9% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 73.2%
Defensive zone
Hischier 79.4%
Neutral zone
Hischier 54.7%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 79.4%
20.6%
79.4%
Duchene
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Duchene
Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
Duchene
Hischier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
51.0% (1,011)
-4.1%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
58.2% (261)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
47.7% (130)
+52.3%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +52.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Duchene shoots left. Hischier is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (858).
Home / Away
Duchene
Hischier
Home
58.4% (125)
52.8% (665)
Away
48.4% (95)
51.4% (737)
By Period
Duchene
Hischier
P1
56.9%
53.8%
P2
52.5%
53.8%
P3
51.9%
49.5%
OT
80.0%
35.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 12:50 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |