Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 55.6% vs Brown 48.9% (+11.0%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 52.3%
Defensive zone
Brown 64.4%
Neutral zone
Duchene 51.6%
Result
Patrick Brown favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Duchene
Brown
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (566)
44.4% (27)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
50.0% (6)
-27.8%
On penalty kill, Brown has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Duchene is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Duchene shoots left. Brown is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (25).
Home / Away
Duchene
Brown
Home
56.6% (318)
37.5% (8)
Away
56.4% (319)
48.0% (25)
By Period
Duchene
Brown
P1
57.2%
54.5%
P2
55.1%
40.0%
P3
55.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
47.9%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
45.5%