Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Brown 48.6% (+6.9%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 60.7%
Defensive zone
Brown 50.8%
Neutral zone
Duchene 53.2%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Duchene
Brown
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (723)
43.6% (39)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
60.0% (5)
-16.2%
On penalty kill, Brown has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Duchene is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Duchene shoots left. Brown is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Duchene
Brown
Home
54.9% (408)
55.6% (9)
Away
50.0% (432)
42.9% (35)
By Period
Duchene
Brown
P1
52.5%
18.2%
P2
51.7%
58.8%
P3
53.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
45.5%