Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Stastny 55.4% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 77.6%
Defensive zone
Stastny 77.4%
Neutral zone
Stastny 58.2%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Duchene
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Duchene
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Duchene
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
59.2% (370)
-12.3%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
40.9% (44)
+32.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
51.7% (58)
+48.3%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +48.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Duchene shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Duchene
Stastny
Home
58.4% (125)
57.7% (215)
Away
48.4% (95)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Duchene
Stastny
P1
56.9%
57.7%
P2
52.5%
54.2%
P3
51.9%
57.7%
OT
80.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 11:41 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 05:40 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |