Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Stastny 56.3% (-4.7%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 70.1%
Defensive zone
Stastny 72.3%
Neutral zone
Duchene 50.9%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Duchene
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (193)
57.5% (412)
-3.6%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
60.0% (65)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.4% (9)
+55.6%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Duchene shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Duchene
Stastny
Home
54.9% (113)
58.3% (276)
Away
51.4% (146)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Duchene
Stastny
P1
54.9%
63.7%
P2
52.7%
57.3%
P3
51.9%
50.4%
Final 5 min
60.6%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%