Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 55.6% vs Byfield 47.9% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Byfield 57.7%
Defensive zone
Duchene 57.6%
Neutral zone
Byfield 53.1%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Duchene
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Duchene
Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
0
1
Duchene
Byfield
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Byfield
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Byfield
0
1
Duchene
Byfield
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (566)
45.1% (71)
+11.4%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
44.4% (18)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
100.0% (1)
-77.8%
On penalty kill, Byfield has a +77.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Duchene shoots left. Byfield is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Home / Away
Duchene
Byfield
Home
56.6% (318)
44.7% (47)
Away
56.4% (319)
46.5% (43)
By Period
Duchene
Byfield
P1
57.2%
55.6%
P2
55.1%
47.1%
P3
55.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
56.5%
Byfield
56.0%▲
47.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 06:37 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 16:51 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |