Matt Duchene vs Quinton Byfield
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Duchene wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Byfield 43.8% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 77.5%
Defensive zone
Duchene 57.5%
Neutral zone
Duchene 69.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Duchene
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Duchene
Byfield
Last 10: Duchene 6-4 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Duchene
Byfield
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Duchene
Byfield
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
2
Duchene
Byfield
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (10,249)
44.3% (1,918)
+9.7%
Power Play
56.9% (1,620)
46.2% (106)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (467)
35.4% (212)
+13.9%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (7,938).
Duchene shoots left. Byfield is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,515).
Home / Away
Duchene
Byfield
Home
55.6% (6,270)
44.0% (1,084)
Away
52.7% (6,090)
43.1% (1,152)
By Period
Duchene
Byfield
P1
54.5%
44.0%
P2
54.5%
42.4%
P3
53.4%
44.3%
OT
55.9%
43.2%
Final 5 min
53.8%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
54.2%
Byfield
56.0%▲
47.5%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 15:10 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 09:22 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 28, 2025 | 1 | 04:21 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 2 | 02:08 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 1 | 07:15 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 3 | 08:13 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 2 | 05:52 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 1 | 17:00 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 06:37 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 16:51 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |