Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Faksa 51.5% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 15-5 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 76.3%
Defensive zone
Faksa 66.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 57.4%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Duchene
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
5
(20 meetings)
15
5
Duchene
Faksa
Last 10: Duchene 8-2 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
7
2
Duchene
Faksa
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
2
3
Duchene
Faksa
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
6
0
Duchene
Faksa
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,112)
52.1% (893)
+0.5%
Power Play
56.0% (193)
50.0% (34)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (49)
49.3% (150)
-0.3%
On power play, Duchene has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Duchene is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (873).
Duchene shoots left. Faksa is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Duchene
Faksa
Home
55.7% (652)
52.6% (548)
Away
50.4% (702)
50.7% (529)
By Period
Duchene
Faksa
P1
51.4%
51.5%
P2
53.9%
53.4%
P3
53.3%
50.1%
OT
55.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
53.0%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2018 | 3 | 13:56 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 3 | 10:41 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 3 | 08:23 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 1 | 13:42 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 1 | 13:22 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 1 | 10:36 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 1 | 04:13 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 3 | 05:48 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 15:02 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 00:13 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 06:09 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 16:39 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 13:49 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 06:03 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 02:54 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |