Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 55.6% vs Faksa 53.7% (+2.1%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 66.7%
Defensive zone
Faksa 72.2%
Neutral zone
Duchene 54.7%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Duchene
Faksa
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (566)
56.4% (401)
+0.1%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
77.8% (9)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
45.5% (110)
-23.3%
On penalty kill, Faksa has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Duchene shoots left. Faksa is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Duchene
Faksa
Home
56.6% (318)
49.0% (249)
Away
56.4% (319)
59.4% (271)
By Period
Duchene
Faksa
P1
57.2%
58.2%
P2
55.1%
53.6%
P3
55.6%
52.4%
OT
81.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
54.4%