Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Duchene wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Faksa 56.2% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 59.7%
Defensive zone
Faksa 86.8%
Neutral zone
Faksa 75.9%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 74.2%
25.8%
74.2%
Duchene
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Duchene
Faksa
Last 8: Duchene 5-3 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Faksa
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
2
Duchene
Faksa
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
4
1
Duchene
Faksa
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (723)
56.9% (671)
-3.9%
Power Play
49.5% (101)
85.7% (7)
-36.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
55.0% (80)
-11.2%
On power play, Faksa has a +36.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Duchene shoots left. Faksa is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Duchene
Faksa
Home
54.9% (408)
59.5% (375)
Away
50.0% (432)
54.6% (383)
By Period
Duchene
Faksa
P1
52.5%
61.2%
P2
51.7%
54.5%
P3
53.6%
55.5%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 06:36 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:06 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 13:27 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:34 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 04:25 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 02:29 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |