Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.2% vs 53.9%). Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Duchene wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Hintz 53.8% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Hintz leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hintz 51.0%
Defensive zone
Duchene 55.8%
Neutral zone
Duchene 54.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Duchene
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Duchene
Hintz
Last 10: Duchene 5-5 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
5
2
Duchene
Hintz
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
2
Duchene
Hintz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
2
Duchene
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,396)
53.8% (3,722)
+0.1%
Power Play
56.9% (1,665)
55.4% (567)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
52.9% (221)
-3.8%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Duchene shoots left. Hintz is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Duchene
Hintz
Home
55.6% (6,411)
54.9% (2,317)
Away
52.7% (6,142)
52.9% (2,193)
By Period
Duchene
Hintz
P1
54.5%
55.5%
P2
54.5%
53.9%
P3
53.4%
52.7%
OT
56.3%
49.3%
Final 5 min
53.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 06:18 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 2 | 09:32 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 2 | 17:36 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 00:46 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 18:31 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 01:14 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 1 | 17:54 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 1 | 16:09 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 1 | 10:03 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 1 | 08:57 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 1, 2020 | 1 | 18:37 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |