Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Hintz 52.6% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 66.5%
Defensive zone
Hintz 57.2%
Neutral zone
Hintz 51.9%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Duchene
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Duchene
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Hintz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
2
Duchene
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
52.9% (526)
-6.0%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
57.4% (108)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
42.5% (40)
+57.5%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +57.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Duchene shoots left. Hintz is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Duchene
Hintz
Home
58.4% (125)
53.8% (329)
Away
48.4% (95)
52.2% (345)
By Period
Duchene
Hintz
P1
56.9%
55.6%
P2
52.5%
53.0%
P3
51.9%
51.7%
OT
80.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 06:18 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 2 | 09:32 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 10, 2021 | 2 | 17:36 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |