Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.5% vs 56.2%). Duchene wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 55.6% vs Hintz 55.3% (+0.3%)
Offensive zone
Hintz 54.4%
Defensive zone
Hintz 51.8%
Neutral zone
Duchene 60.3%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Duchene
Hintz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (566)
56.3% (512)
+0.2%
Power Play
61.3% (62)
63.3% (30)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
45.8% (24)
-23.6%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Duchene shoots left. Hintz is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Duchene
Hintz
Home
56.6% (318)
57.3% (262)
Away
56.4% (319)
55.3% (304)
By Period
Duchene
Hintz
P1
57.2%
54.8%
P2
55.1%
56.0%
P3
55.6%
57.5%
OT
81.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
56.5%
Hintz
70.0%▲
61.5%
56.2%