Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Hintz 53.5% (-1.5%)
Offensive zone
Hintz 50.3%
Defensive zone
Hintz 50.9%
Neutral zone
Duchene 55.7%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Duchene
Hintz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (723)
53.6% (711)
-0.6%
Power Play
49.5% (101)
53.8% (93)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
58.7% (46)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Duchene shoots left. Hintz is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (518).
Home / Away
Duchene
Hintz
Home
54.9% (408)
52.6% (460)
Away
50.0% (432)
55.4% (390)
By Period
Duchene
Hintz
P1
52.5%
59.0%
P2
51.7%
52.7%
P3
53.6%
51.1%
OT
33.3%
20.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
52.4%
Hintz
70.0%▲
61.5%
53.9%