Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.9% vs Hintz 49.4% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 65.7%
Defensive zone
Hintz 52.5%
Neutral zone
Hintz 52.7%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Duchene
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Duchene
Hintz
Last 7: Duchene 4-3 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
4
1
Duchene
Hintz
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
2
Duchene
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (248)
47.8% (383)
+7.8%
Power Play
45.3% (53)
55.8% (43)
-10.5%
On power play, Hintz has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Duchene is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Duchene shoots left. Hintz is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Duchene
Hintz
Home
54.7% (150)
51.6% (248)
Away
53.0% (151)
46.6% (221)
By Period
Duchene
Hintz
P1
51.1%
49.3%
P2
57.8%
53.2%
P3
52.4%
44.9%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
53.1%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
53.8%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 00:46 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 18:31 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 01:14 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 1 | 17:54 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 1 | 16:09 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 1 | 10:03 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |