Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Hartman 44.0% (+10.0%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 74.2%
Defensive zone
Hartman 79.5%
Neutral zone
Hartman 52.9%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Duchene
Hartman
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (193)
42.6% (495)
+11.3%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
38.5% (26)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
48.8% (43)
+51.2%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +51.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Duchene is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Duchene shoots left. Hartman is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Duchene
Hartman
Home
54.9% (113)
43.4% (288)
Away
51.4% (146)
42.4% (276)
By Period
Duchene
Hartman
P1
54.9%
43.1%
P2
52.7%
43.4%
P3
51.9%
42.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.6%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%