Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.2% vs Johansen 51.2% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 68.6%
Defensive zone
Johansen 67.4%
Neutral zone
Johansen 65.2%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Duchene
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Duchene
Johansen
Last 10: Duchene 3-7 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
4
Duchene
Johansen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
1
Duchene
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
6
Duchene
Johansen
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (706)
51.2% (447)
+5.6%
Power Play
56.1% (57)
53.4% (73)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (130)
44.4% (9)
-2.1%
On even strength, Duchene has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Duchene is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (258).
Duchene shoots left. Johansen is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
Duchene
Johansen
Home
56.6% (488)
54.9% (255)
Away
52.3% (405)
48.2% (274)
By Period
Duchene
Johansen
P1
52.0%
51.7%
P2
53.7%
49.4%
P3
58.5%
51.8%
OT
46.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.8%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.6%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2013 | 3 | 17:58 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 3 | 16:03 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 3 | 03:23 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 3 | 00:31 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 1 | 04:42 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 1 | 00:20 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 1 | 12:39 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 04:57 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 18:34 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 15:20 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 19:19 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 14:18 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 12:25 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 09:17 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |