Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Johansen 58.2% (-6.3%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 68.2%
Defensive zone
Johansen 71.4%
Neutral zone
Duchene 50.7%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Duchene
Johansen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (193)
59.8% (625)
-5.9%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
58.2% (196)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
51.9% (27)
+48.1%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +48.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Duchene is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Duchene shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Duchene
Johansen
Home
54.9% (113)
60.3% (436)
Away
51.4% (146)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Duchene
Johansen
P1
54.9%
61.3%
P2
52.7%
60.4%
P3
51.9%
56.0%
OT
50.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
60.6%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%