Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Johansen 52.4% (+1.5%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 68.2%
Defensive zone
Johansen 74.1%
Neutral zone
Johansen 54.7%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Duchene
Johansen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
49.4% (1,010)
-2.5%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
62.3% (236)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
67.2% (67)
+32.8%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +32.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Duchene is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Duchene shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Duchene
Johansen
Home
58.4% (125)
54.7% (655)
Away
48.4% (95)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Duchene
Johansen
P1
56.9%
52.2%
P2
52.5%
50.7%
P3
51.9%
54.8%
OT
80.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
52.8%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%