Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 50.3% vs Johansen 52.6% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 58.6%
Defensive zone
Duchene 58.2%
Neutral zone
Duchene 60.4%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Duchene
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Duchene
Johansen
Last 6: Duchene 2-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
3
Duchene
Johansen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Duchene
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (933)
52.5% (1,002)
-3.1%
Power Play
58.7% (104)
56.1% (198)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
49.5% (111)
-1.9%
On even strength, Johansen has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Duchene is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (402).
Duchene shoots left. Johansen is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (864).
Home / Away
Duchene
Johansen
Home
51.9% (534)
54.7% (632)
Away
48.7% (524)
51.0% (679)
By Period
Duchene
Johansen
P1
51.0%
54.3%
P2
48.8%
53.5%
P3
50.6%
50.9%
OT
57.1%
45.5%
Final 5 min
50.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
50.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2013 | 3 | 08:10 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 2 | 06:44 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 1 | 18:56 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 1 | 15:43 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 1 | 10:56 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |