Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Stamkos 50.9% (+3.1%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 71.8%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 78.6%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 54.6%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Duchene
Stamkos
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
49.3% (789)
-2.4%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
56.9% (181)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
54.1% (98)
+45.9%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +45.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Duchene is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Duchene shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Home / Away
Duchene
Stamkos
Home
58.4% (125)
52.0% (512)
Away
48.4% (95)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Duchene
Stamkos
P1
56.9%
42.1%
P2
52.5%
56.4%
P3
51.9%
53.7%
OT
80.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%