Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.9% vs 53.8%). Duchene wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 77.3%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 66.8%
Neutral zone
Duchene 63.1%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Duchene
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Duchene
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Duchene
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (193)
55.3% (628)
-1.4%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
55.1% (216)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
40.2% (87)
+59.8%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +59.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Duchene is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Duchene shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Duchene
Stamkos
Home
54.9% (113)
55.5% (499)
Away
51.4% (146)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Duchene
Stamkos
P1
54.9%
50.7%
P2
52.7%
53.8%
P3
51.9%
55.9%
OT
50.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
60.6%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2022 | 3 | 18:19 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 19:44 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |