Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Zegras 41.5% (+14.2%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 55.4%
Defensive zone
Zegras 61.5%
Neutral zone
Zegras 55.7%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Duchene
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (162)
39.4% (510)
+7.5%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
47.1% (34)
+26.1%
On power play, Duchene has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Duchene shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Duchene
Zegras
Home
58.4% (125)
42.3% (272)
Away
48.4% (95)
37.5% (272)
By Period
Duchene
Zegras
P1
56.9%
37.6%
P2
52.5%
41.5%
P3
51.9%
40.8%
OT
80.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.1%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
39.9%