Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Zegras 41.3% (+15.8%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 50.2%
Defensive zone
Duchene 57.4%
Neutral zone
Duchene 50.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Duchene
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (723)
36.5% (156)
+16.5%
Power Play
49.5% (101)
40.7% (27)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
0.0% (3)
+43.8%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +43.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Duchene shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Duchene
Zegras
Home
54.9% (408)
38.9% (113)
Away
50.0% (432)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Duchene
Zegras
P1
52.5%
40.0%
P2
51.7%
38.1%
P3
53.6%
31.6%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.4%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
36.6%