Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Dellandrea shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Dellandrea 50.5% (+2.2%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 78.9%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 81.3%
Neutral zone
Duchene 50.4%
Result
Ty Dellandrea favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Duchene
Dellandrea
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (193)
52.3% (174)
+1.6%
Power Play
49.2% (65)
100.0% (1)
-50.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
38.5% (26)
+61.5%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +61.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Duchene is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Duchene shoots left. Dellandrea is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Duchene
Dellandrea
Home
54.9% (113)
48.1% (108)
Away
51.4% (146)
53.8% (93)
By Period
Duchene
Dellandrea
P1
54.9%
55.4%
P2
52.7%
52.5%
P3
51.9%
46.1%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.6%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
50.7%