Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dellandrea on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.1% vs Dellandrea 49.9% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 64.3%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 63.9%
Neutral zone
Dellandrea 56.9%
Result
Ty Dellandrea favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Duchene
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Duchene
Dellandrea
Last 8: Duchene 3-5 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Duchene
Dellandrea
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Duchene
Dellandrea
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
1
3
Duchene
Dellandrea
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (723)
51.1% (356)
+1.9%
Power Play
49.5% (101)
100.0% (6)
-50.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
36.8% (57)
+7.0%
On power play, Dellandrea has a +50.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Duchene is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Duchene shoots left. Dellandrea is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (337).
Home / Away
Duchene
Dellandrea
Home
54.9% (408)
46.7% (180)
Away
50.0% (432)
52.3% (239)
By Period
Duchene
Dellandrea
P1
52.5%
47.8%
P2
51.7%
50.9%
P3
53.6%
50.8%
Final 5 min
53.3%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:24 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:33 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 18:57 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 15:07 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 02:46 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2 | 12:19 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 1 | 15:51 | Offensive | Ty Dellandrea |