Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +18.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poitras 48.3% vs Hertl 57.2% (-18.9%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 78.3%
Defensive zone
Hertl 52.2%
Neutral zone
Hertl 60.6%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 63.7%
36.3%
63.7%
Poitras
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poitras
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
35.3% (17)
58.1% (823)
-22.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
56.2% (265)
+43.8%
On power play, Poitras has a +43.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Poitras is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (15).
Poitras shoots right. Hertl is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Poitras
Hertl
Home
28.6% (7)
59.7% (561)
Away
45.5% (11)
55.9% (562)
By Period
Poitras
Hertl
P1
50.0%
51.6%
P2
33.3%
63.8%
P3
25.0%
58.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poitras
42.0%▼
44.5%
38.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%